Chiz, Loren, Noli top vice presidential poll

Senators Francis Escudero and Loren Legarda are nearly neck and neck in the latest survey on vice presidential contenders for the May 2010 elections.

Twenty-four percent of respondents to Pulse Asia’s May 2009 Ulat ng Bayan survey expressed support for Escudero while 21 percent said they were for Legarda.

On the other hand, almost two in 10 Filipinos (17 percent) are inclined to re-elect Vice-President Noli de Castro.

The only other individual to score double-digit voter preference is Makati City Mayor Jejomar Binay with 10 percent.

The non-commissioned survey was conducted from May 4 to 17, using face-to-face interviews of 1,200 representative adults aged 18 years old and above.

“The candidacies of the other personalities included in the vice presidential probe are supported by nine percent or less of Filipinos,” Pulse Asia said.

They were: Sen. Francis Pangilinan (nine percent), Sen. Jinggoy Estrada (five percent), Sen. Ramon Revilla Jr. (four percent), Sen. Richard Gordon (two percent), Isabela Gov. Grace Padaca (one percent), and Finance Secretary Margarito Teves (one percent).

Pulse Asia said less than one in 10 Filipinos (six percent) is not inclined to vote for any of the possible vice presidential bets listed in this survey.

The survey found that Escudero topped the list of vice presidential bets in Metro Manila (36 percent) and Class ABC (30 percent).

In Luzon and Classes D and E, the top candidates are Escudero, Legarda and De Castro.

In the Visayas, these three individuals along with Pangilinan and Binay registered practically the same double-digit voter preferences (11 percent to 21 percent).

In Mindanao, around the same percentages (13 percent to 23 percent) expressed support for the vice presidential bids of De Castro, Escudero, Legarda and Pangilinan.

“Between February and May 2009, there are no significant changes in the voter preferences of all individuals included in the vice presidential probe,” the survey firm said.

“Nonetheless, marginal improvements are registered by Binay (+4 percentage points) and De Castro (+3 percentage points) while there is a slight decline (-3 percentage points) in Sen. Estrada’s overall voter preference,” Pulse Asia said.

Senatorial preferences

Meanwhile, 14 out of the 65 personalities included in the survey for senatorial candidates have a “statistical chance” of winning in the May 2010 senatorial elections if the elections were held yesterday, the Pulse Asia survey showed.

Leading the list of “senatoriables” was Sen. Manuel Roxas II whose overall voter preference (49.5 percent) translates to a statistical ranking of 1st to 2nd places, the pollster said.

Roxas was followed by Estrada (46 percent), Sen. Pia Cayetano (43.5 percent), Sen. Miriam Defensor-Santiago (43.1 percent), Senator Revilla (41.4 percent), Sen. Jamby Madrigal (40.9 percent), former Senate president Franklin Drilon (38.7 percent), National Economic and Development Authority (NEDA) Secretary-General Ralph Recto (36.2 percent), Atty. Aquilino Pimentel III (31.9 percent), Binay (30.5 percent), Dangerous Drugs Board head Vicente Sotto III (29.8 percent), former senator Sergio Osmeña III (29.4 percent), Gordon (25.4 percent), and Senate President Juan Ponce Enrile (25.1 percent).

Pulse Asia said almost all Filipinos have at least one favored senatorial candidate. Only 4.1 percent were not inclined to vote for any of the individuals included in this survey’s senatorial probe.

Pulse Asia said public interest in the May 2010 senatorial race continues to be high with Filipinos, naming a mean of nine and a median of 11 (out of a maximum of 12) of their preferred candidates for the Senate.

“Mean figures range from eight to 10 while median figures vary from eight to 12 across the survey’s geographic areas and socio-demographic groupings. At least 48 percent of those surveyed already have a full senatorial ticket in mind at this time, identifying 12 names for the 12 available Senate positions,” Pulse Asia explained.

The other personalities that were included in the survey were: Optical Media Board chairman Edu Manzano (21.4 percent), news anchor Ted Failon (20.4 percent), former senator and health secretary Juan Flavier (20.4 percent), Sen. Manuel Lapid (19.8 percent), Bukidnon Rep. Teofisto Guingona III (17.5 percent), Muntinlupa Rep. Rozzano Biazon (15.7 percent), former senator Ernesto Maceda (15.4 percent), Philippine Long Distance Telephone Co. (PLDT) chairman Manuel Pangilinan (14.4 percent);

NBN-ZTE deal whistleblower Rodolfo Lozada Jr. (14 percent), Surigao del Norte Gov. Robert Ace Barbers (13.9 percent), lawyer and book author Alex Lacson (12.8 percent), Georgina de Venecia (12.7 percent), former Presidential Management Staff chief Michael Defensor (12.2 percent), Tourism Secretary Joseph Ace Durano (12.1 percent), former Surigao del Sur Rep. Prospero Pichay (11.3) and former Pasig City Rep. Robert Jaworski Jr. (10.1 percent).

The Pulse Asia survey has sampling error margin of plus or minus three percent at the 95 percent confidence level. (philstar.com)

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